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The appreciation of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar is adding pressure to the quiet markets for fused alumina and bauxite before the Chinese new year holiday period.
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Fused alumina production suspensions have become a common occurrence in China’s Henan province, due to the region’s deteriorating air quality in winter.
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Availability could have dropped slightly for 2019 after last year's strong production, while demand in main consuming markets has softened because of the weak performance across refractories.
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Cheap alumina powder feedstock continues to favour lower offer prices for WFA, while weak demand and uncertainty over availability during China’s winter season support BFA and bauxite.
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Amid muted demand, environmental crackdowns and increasingly short supply of high-grade feedstock, producers are seeking changes to their operations in Henan province, a production hub for brown fused alumina (BFA).
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Fastmarkets assessed all main grades of both brown and white fused alumina lower as well as the prices of 86% and 88% calcined bauxite.
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The Fastmarkets holiday pricing schedule has been updated to reflect the official announcement of public holidays in China for 2020.
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Exchange rate fluctuations are adding to an ongoing sluggish demand scenario
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Fastmarkets IM looks at three key takeaways from China’s first Fused Alumina Trade Show, held in Sanmenxia in China’s Henan province over October 22-24.
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Authorities in China’s Henan province are turning the screw on local producers in their attempts to further improve air quality in the province’s main industrial areas, but this has not helped to support prices.
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The implementation of China's environmental regulations will have important repercussions for the price of bauxite this winter, especially with the continuing uncertainty about levels of demand.
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Refractory-grade bauxite and fused alumina prices remained relatively stable amid supply disruptions caused by Beijing’s environmental efforts and dampened demand from end users.
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China’s shipments of refractory-grade bauxite to the international markets was lower year-on-year in July on slow demand from global buyers and disrupted supply within the country.
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Brown and white fused alumina prices are easing in China, even with the emergence of supply concerns caused by pollution controls in Henan province.
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Buyers of calcined alumina are putting downward pressure on producers’ prices during second-half contract negotiations, with sentiment turning because of weaker end markets.
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Refractory grade brown fused alumina (BFA) sellers report thin trading conditions on low demand, but concerns over availability are sending mixed messages to the market, sources said this week.
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Prices of refractory-grade bauxite have proved resilient of late despite the slowdown in demand in Europe and other major consumer markets.
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Prices for two grades of bauxite have ticked downward, as has the price for white fused alumina, but brown fused alumina remained stable, with the market said to be mostly flat on limited activity.
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Fastmarkets IM has begun a consultation on its proposal to increase the frequency of its andalusite price assessments to quarterly.
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The andalusite market remains buoyant on refractories demand and ongoing issues with alternative raw materials such as Chinese bauxite, but participants are hopeful the ripple effects of the 2017 shortage may finally be coming to an end.
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The spreads in the bauxite market have been widening, while concerns over China's 2019 supply flow increase and keep brown-fused alumina (BFA) and white-fused alumina (WFA) prices stable.
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Contract negotiations continue to lend upward support to some grades of ground calcined alumina, while unground material prices held steady.
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Spreads among some bauxite grades are widening while BFA, WFA prices remain stable on limited demand, although participants are concerned over supply flows from China in 2019.
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China’s domestic magnesia prices edge up on regulatory restrictions, export prices unchanged; China’s unshaped refractory materials output up 10% in August; Aachen 2018: Prices of refractory minerals expected to remain firm
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Current closures at bauxite and alumina plants in China may be in place for months once the recently announced winter shutdown regulations come into force, forcing prices upward.
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Brown fused and white fused alumina prices have increased, offsetting yuan-related depreciation, while the price of refractory grade bauxite 88% ticked up on continued production issues in Shanxi.
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Contracts for the fourth quarter and for 2019 will be subject to a “double digit” percentage price rise.
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Flake graphite prices soften on sellers’ push; Seizure of ‘smuggled’ antimony metal turns trioxide sentiment positive; GLOBAL LITHIUM WRAP: Chinese, Europe, US lithium carbonate prices edge down; Weak yuan pushes bauxite, fused alumina prices down; Pricing notice: Discontinuation of four European graphite prices
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Prices came down for two grades of bauxite, refractory-grade white-fused alumina (WFA) and abrasive-grade brown-fused alumina (BFA), while white refractory-grade BFA held stable.
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Calcined alumina suppliers warn of further price rises in 2019 on widespread shortage; Global iodine spot price strengthens; Chinese carbonate prices drop for second week; seaborne market resists lower bids; Proposal to discontinue four European graphite prices; Ilmenite prices stable amid China’s latest environmental protection campaign; Domestic European antimony trioxide price softens but global markets largely stable; Chinese soda ash prices hold firm for another week, production stable; Chinese TiO2 export prices tick lower; Bauxite, fused alumina prices stable amid concerns of new shutdowns
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Prices for bauxite, brown-fused alumina (BFA) and white-fused alumina (WFA) have held since the drop in May and June, but supply may suffer yet another hit if calcination plant closures in Shanxi were to go ahead.
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Prices of Chinese bauxite decreased slightly over the past fortnight, but market participants warned of surging energy prices and tightening supply.
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Refractory-grade brown fused alumina prices continued to weaken in the latest assessment, while low availability limited the fall in abrasive-grade prices.
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IM's monthly price movements.
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Refractory grade BFA prices moved down after producers in China sought to move inventory, while tight availability upheld prices of abrasive grade BFA, and white fused alumina remained stable.
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Chinese bauxite sellers are lowering their offer prices despite supply conditions being as tight as ever, while distressed selling by cash-strapped producers is thought to be contributing to the market’s downtrend.
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Market worries over higher feedstock costs related to record-high SGA prices are boosting supply concerns stemming from the sanctions imposed on Rusal, prompting spot prices for WFA to react.
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Bauxite calcination plants in Shanxi shut on government orders. Market fears rise in prices as Liaoning stops magnesite mining. PRICING NOTICE: Extension of consultation period on proposal to discontinue kyanite prices. European, North American lithium spot markets up; Chinese spot market unchanged. Spherical graphite price grows on tight supply. PRICING NOTICE: Discontinuation of one zircon grade, launching another. Lower Chinese prices push white fused alumina market down. PRICING NOTICE: Extension of consultation period regarding olivine price
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Industrial Minerals understands no calcined bauxite operation in the Chinese province is being allowed to run, and the disruption may last for up to two months.
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The material has depreciated somewhat from the heights reached at the beginning of the year, with an evident split between cheaper Chinese material and more expensive prices from other regions.
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IM's monthly price movements.
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Refractory grade brown fused-alumina (BFA) is trading above $800 per tonne while producers see no end to government-led production limitations on processing plants as part of Beijing’s quest for ‘blue skies’.
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Any drop in output from Hydro’s Alunorte refinery may affect the company’s ability to uphold alumina hydrate volumes and supplies of Brazilian material to the United States at a time of rising prices.
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The global alumina supply picture would likely look very different were it not for the introduction and adoption of alumina indices published by price reporting agencies, according to Mark Roggensinger, senior market analyst at Hydro.
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IM's monthly price movements.
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Contract prices for andalusite have edged up by about 10% from last year’s levels, with widespread consumer demand further compounding limited availability of material.
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Strong demand fundamentals from refractory end-markets and the wide-reaching effects of a raw material supply scarcity are supporting long-term prices.
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IM's monthly price movements.
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Small and medium-sized operators in the refractories sector are worried about additional pressures coming from two sides, as higher raw material costs come at a time when larger market participants get even larger through mergers and acquisitions (M&A).
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